Pro

• He’s fast: Once zoomed an opening quarter in 20 4/5 seconds — at Churchill.
• He belongs: A winner of two graded stakes — the Swale and the Bay Shore — the son of Teuflesberg, 17th in the 2007 Derby, has placed in two other graded stakes.
• He’s the horse everybody expects to set the pace and nobody wants to collar early. Does that mean he’ll get a clear easy lead?

Con

• He’s never run longer than seven furlongs.
• That sub-21-second first quarter? He subsequently faded to finish seventh.
• He has to actually get the lead to set the pace — no easy task in a 20-horse field loaded with front-runners.

Fun fact

Travels well—Trinniberg already has run at six different racetracks, including Churchill.

Final analysis

Can’t see a sprinter winning his first distance race at a mile and a quarter on the first Saturday in May.
 

Photo: Kentucky Derby/NYRA/Adam Coglianese