Our editor who stinks at handicapping shares his Breeders' Cup picks [Breeders' Cup]

Zach Everson

Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

The guy I know liked the 5, Grace Hall, a closer who's 3-0, including a Grade I. Then he had to get off the phone because he was at the Sizzler and his steak arrived. Here I go again on my own.  Goin' down the only road I've ever known. Like a drifter I was born to bet alone. And I've made up my mind...

The 2, Candrea, came in second her last time out, losing by just 1/2 lengths in a Grade I to Weemissfrankie, who's also in this race (11). And she's going at 10-1.

My Miss Areola Aurelia, the 9, is a very good horse: 3-0, fast speed figures. Odds are 5-2 now though.

My credit card statement just arrived via email, so I'm going light on this one. Picks after I balance my account...

Someone left Bod Man spray deodorant on the counter of Churchill Downs's sixth floor men's room. Score

$1 trifecta 9 / 2, 5, 10, 11 / 2, 5, 10, 11.  Cost of wager: $12.

WINNER! (I don't all-caps lightly.) Returned $50.60. Louisville.com turf writers stunned. Good riddance guy I know!

Profit/loss for the Breeders' Cup: -$5.40


Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf

I like a lot of horses in this 12-horse field, too many to bet on with an exotic. And there are too many Europeans: judging the ability of a European horse is like judging the sexuality of a European man. There's a lot of ambiguity there.

The 1, Dubawi Heights, has been bet down from a 8-1 morning line to 12-1. That gambling behavior makes no sense to this handicapper, who's 1-1 in his last one race.

The 10, Distorted Legacy had a great speed ranting her last time out when she won a Grade I. And there's the possibility of more improvement as it'll be her second race back after a layoff. And there's that bullet workout of hers on Oct. 29.

Wagers after I clean the Cheetos residue off my ascot...

$2 win, place, show on 1, 10.  Cost of wager: $12.

Dubwai Heights lead most of the race—until the final straightaway. Distorted got nipped by a nose for third place. A good pick, just not a winning one.

Profit/loss for the Breeders' Cup: -$17.40


Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic

I'm having a hard time finding any bets worth making here. I like the 3, It's Tricky, currently at 9-2; 6, Royal Delta, 8-5; 7, Ultra Bend, 6-1; and 8, Plum Pretty (the defending Kentucky Oaks champ), 3-1.

Normally I'd walk away from this race, but today isn't a normal day. It's the first day of Breeders' Crap and—holy crap—I'm just one winning bet away from being up on the day.

Ultra Bend intrigues me the most: she put a 104 speed rating her last time out and that was her first race back after a break, meaning she's likely to improve even more. And she has the best payout of any of the horses I like.

Satan's Quick Chick (4) is 50-1, but placed third in her last race, a Grade I, not too far behind Royal Delta...

Pick after I pick this popcorn kernel out of my teeth...

$3 win, place, show on 4. $2 win, place, show on 7. Cost of wager: $15.

Near the back for most of the race, Ultra Bend came roaring back down the straight away...to finish fourth by a nose. Satan's Quick Chick? I might as well have just had a concessionaire break a ten spot, tipped him a buck for the effort and flushed the other nine bucks down the toilet.

Should've just stopped.

Profit/loss for the Breeders' Cup: -$32.40

The races start again tomorrow at 1:20 p.m. EDT. So tonight I go home and shake, either from gambling withdrawal or the cocaine party I'm going to throw myself in honor of my one winning bet today. Giddyup.


Like us on Facebook!
Subscribe to our RSS Feed!
Follow us on Twitter!
Add us to your circles on Google+!
Follow us on Pinterest!
Follow us on Tumblr!

Search Louisville Events

More Events | Post an Event | Event Map

Search Louisville Restaurants

Louisville Independent Business Alliance


Copyright © 2014 Louisville.com, All Rights Reserved
137 W. Muhammad Ali Boulevard, Suite 102, Louisville, KY 40202
Mobile Site