For some of you, a guy who's 8 for 72 in cashing winning tickets this year and down only $303.07 might just be worth listening to.
Sentinent Jet Breeders' Cup Juvenile
This guy I know who wins at the track said to bet a trifecta with 6 to win (it's a good horse), 1 and 7 to place (1 ran well in the slop before and 7 had a good workout and has a good pedigree) and all for show (a lock). So...
$1 trifecta 6/1,7/1-9. Cost of wager: $14.
Damnit. The 6 horse won as expected, but a good charge by the 5, Shumoos, bumped the 7 down to third on the homestretch and my winnings down to nil. The 1 placed fourth. A good bet, albeit not a winning one.
Profit/loss for the Breeders' Cup: -$14
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
There's a joke to be made about juvenile fillies and turf. But this is a family website, so I'm not going to make it.
This race has 14 ponies in it. That's a lot of ponies, and it means keying an exotic bet is going to beyond my budget (doesn't writing "keying an exotic bet" make me sound like I know what the hell I'm talking about?). That guy I know liked the 3, 5, 9, 10, and 14 and kinda liked the 4 and 6. Yep, that's half the field. (Picking a 2-year-old horse can be tough because they haven't raced much.)
The odds are low on the 5, 10, and 14.
The 3, Up, is running with Lasix for the fist time, which is supposed to make him ponies run faster. And she's got a good sire, trainer and won her only start. And she's at 22-1 right now, so that's nice.
The 6, Sweet Cat, has gotten faster each time out, coming in second in a Grade II stakes race her last time out. Her current odds are 11-1.
The 9, Pure Gossip, won her last time out too, in a Grade III. The race was 1 1/16 and she done exploded, winning by 6 1/2 lengths. That's good. She's at 14-1. She also kicked butt on a soft track and the turf right now is just good.
Bet coming after I visit the toilet...
$2 win, place, show on 3, 9. Cost of wager: $12
The Up came in fourth, Pure Gossip worse than that. The 6, Sweet Cat, of course showed.
Profit/loss for the Breeders' Cup: -$26
Sentinent Jet Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Fillies and mares. Together. It's like those videos you stream, where the mature woman teaches the one who just turned 18 things, wonderful things, about her body. Or not.
That guy I know likes the 3, Turbulent Descent. With odds of 2-1 now though, so do lots of people. He also liked Switch, who's 5-5 in hitting the board in races of this distance (7 furlongs). Fur.
His two long shots were the 9, Golden Mystery, and 10, Tamarind Hall. I don't remember why he liked Golden Mystery, possibly because he used a word I didn't understand and that threw me.
Tamarind Hall had a bullet workout on Oct. 26 and hit the board in her last four races, three of which were graded. She's coming off a layoff, but the last time she did that, she placed in a Grade III.
Bet coming after I refill my Diet Mountain Dew...
$0.50 trifecta box, 3, 6, 9, 12; $2 win, place, show on 10. Cost of wagers: $18
Taramind Hall was in first down the stretch when it looked like she got shot. Why isn't there an investigation? Where are the police? Only the 6 in my trifecta hit the board. No money for me.
Profit/loss for the Breeders' Cup: -$44