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    • Brisnet speed figures were greater than 100 in each of his last three races
    • Chance of rain on Derby day and El Padrino has won on both good and sloppy surfaces
    • With A.P. Indy. Seattle Slew, Mr. Prospector and Giant's Causeway has a good pedigree


    • Brisnet speed figures have decreased in each of his last three races
    • El Padrino's success on good and sloppy tracks is well known, so don't expect much value if the conditions are poor
    • Finished a disappointing fourth in his last race, the Florida Derby, behind Derby competitors Take Charge Indy and Union Rags

    Fun fact

    On a Google search for "El Padrino," the Wikipedia entry for dead drug kingpin Pablo Escobar is the fifth result.

    Final analysis

    Stay away, unless the track is sloppy, in which case play him in exotics

    Photo: Kentucky Derby/Hodges Photography /Lou Hodges, Jr.

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    Zach Everson's picture

    About Zach Everson

    I'm a freelance writer, focusing on travel, food, and A&E. I've contributed to Condé Nast Traveler, Lonely Planet, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, Air Canada's enRoute, Gawker Media's Gridskipper and Deadspin, USA Today, BlackBook, and Curbed. Previously I was a senior editor at Aol Travel and MapQuest. And, before that, director of content and editorial strategy for I also was the founding editor of Eater Louisville. Washington, DC based. Boston born. Kentucky Colonel.

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